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In the face of transnational allegiances, Lebanon can only preserve its sovereignty by reaffirming a single loyalty to the State. From the history of communities to current Hezbollah issues and regional influences, this text advocates active neutrality, control of acts and national exclusivity of strategic decision-making.

Viktor Orban's defeat against Péter Magyar marks a major political turning point in Hungary. With more than 52% of the votes for Tisza, Brussels breathes, Moscow cashes and the trompist camp loses one of its ideological references. The election opens a possible political and European normalisation phase.

In southern Lebanon, UNIFIL accuses the Israeli army of having hit two of its vehicles, blocked its patrols and damaged several equipment along the Blue Line. The UN mission believes that these obstacles violate resolution 1701 and directly undermine its freedom of movement and the exercise of its mandate.

By blocking Ormuz and targeting China, Donald Trump turns the Iranian crisis into a threat of global conflict.

The official record of the Israeli attacks on Lebanon reached 2,055 deaths and 6,588 injuries by 12 April. In the South, strikes continue to kill, while Bint Jbeil remains at the heart of the fighting. Hezbollah continues its fire, without any sign of military calm this Sunday on the ground.

The announcement of an American blockade of the Strait of Ormuz, followed by a 50% tariff threat against countries that would help Iran militarily, puts Donald Trump at the centre of a global crisis. The stakes go beyond the Gulf: oil, gas, freight, fertilizer, inflation and rivalry with China are now linked to the future of a passage through which a decisive share of global energy flows.

The Israeli account of a Hezbollah coup appears to be a pretext for disproportionate bombing of Lebanon. No credible evidence was produced, while the scale of the strikes against civilians fed accusations of war crimes.

The failure of Islamabad further weakens Lebanon, returned to Washington without real leverage against Israel. Between fighting in southern Lebanon, strikes on Nabatiyah and a fuzzy truce around Beirut, Beirut may be pushed to negotiate under pressure, in a diplomatic framework that is already biased by the military power ratio.

Lebanon cannot guarantee peace without regaining the monopoly of force. This chronicle analyses a fragmented State, unable to fully control violence, and calls for a sovereign reconquest based on the control of arms, borders, financial flows and national political decision-making.

After the Israeli strikes on 8 April in Lebanon, hospitals issued urgent appeals for blood donation to deal with the influx of wounded people. In this context, diplomatic representations, including Poland and Australia, participated directly in the Beirut collection. This simple but very strong gesture gave a concrete face to international solidarity, as the country faced one of the most deadly days of recent escalation.

Fact-check: The viral image of the Eiffel Tower illuminated with the Lebanese flag on 8 or 9 April 2026 is not authenticated. Check.

The global ceasefire expected in Lebanon is not a settlement. It is used to organize a political transition in which each actor can assert that he or she has achieved satisfaction without recognizing a setback. Islamabad holds the Iranian-American lock and allows Iran to enter the sequence after satisfying its condition on Lebanon. Washington then serves as the front of the Lebanon-Israel cycle, with an intact danger: that of unacceptable compromise carried by a Lebanon present in the scene, but without real background maps.

After the Israeli strikes on Lebanon, the debate on the EU-Israel Association Agreement resurfaced. Paris wants to reopen the discussion, Madrid asks for a suspension, Rome hardens the tone. But between the real legal basis and the political divisions of the Twenty-Seven, a challenge remains very difficult.

An immediate ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon could be announced tomorrow, according to Israel Hayom. This announcement would open a phase of direct negotiations in Washington, but the terms of the agreement remain unknown. For Beirut, stopping strikes is a prerequisite. For Tehran, Lebanon's inclusion in de-escalation is also a credibility test for the Islamabad Canal. Behind the expected announcement, it is therefore all the regional architecture of the truce that is being played.